While calculating the cost of capital, we take the D/E ratio, while calculating the Cost of equity we use beta which is a function of D/E so are we not double counting the entire thing.?
Sunday, November 9, 2008
My Doubts
Should Cash be considered a part of Working Capital
This question can be looked in two different ways
Should short term debt and part of long term retiring be considered a part of current liabilities ?
The first view is that the cash that is present with the companies is generally invested in treasury bills, short term government securities and commerical papers.Moreover they are riskless investments so while discounting we do not us a risk free rate. Therefore there comes a logical inconsistency
The second view is that, there are industries which are working capital intensive and hence require a large amount of cash for their day to day operations, for such companies it makes sense to assume that 5% of the cash would to be a part of the working capital cycle
Should short term debt and part of long term retiring be considered a part of current liabilities ?
They should not be considered a part of the working capital and should be considered while calculating the cost of capital. There is no sense in double counting it. But if you use the FCFE method then it makes sense to include the short term debt to be a part of the working capital as it will not be taken into account during the Cost of equity calculation
Effect of Net operating Losses
For firms which have huge net operating losses carried forward there is tremendous potential for savings in the first few years, till they generate positive earnings.
Till the time there is Non operating losses accumulated with the firm, the firm would not be paying any tax, as the profits start flowing in, first the NOL will be covered and after than any taxable income that remains would be taxed. The tax rate would be calculated on the taxrate*taxable income/Total Income. Therefore the tax rate can build up over a period of time to 35% in the end
Till the time there is Non operating losses accumulated with the firm, the firm would not be paying any tax, as the profits start flowing in, first the NOL will be covered and after than any taxable income that remains would be taxed. The tax rate would be calculated on the taxrate*taxable income/Total Income. Therefore the tax rate can build up over a period of time to 35% in the end
IS FCFE correct ?
This question once came to my mind, is the FCFE method correct because drawing an analogy from the bond markets, the value of the bond is the PV of all the future cash flows from the bond. Hence the PV of a share should be the PV of all the cash flows that would be received by the shareholder. So in that sense the DDM becomes the best method, but still people do not use it. It is shunned by the investor community. Then i looked up the internet to find the answer that i needed
A. Damodaran has put this answer very beautifully in his book, he says that FCFE assumes that all the potential cash that is left after payment of debt holders, taxes and operating expenses is assumed to be paid to the equity holders. Therefore we can say that the investors get the FCFE. It assumes that there is no cash build up in the company and all the cash available is distributed to the shareholders. Therefore we would have seen that the cash component of the present year is added separately to the equity value.
Also the reason for the firm not giving out Dividends =FCFE are as follows
A. Damodaran has put this answer very beautifully in his book, he says that FCFE assumes that all the potential cash that is left after payment of debt holders, taxes and operating expenses is assumed to be paid to the equity holders. Therefore we can say that the investors get the FCFE. It assumes that there is no cash build up in the company and all the cash available is distributed to the shareholders. Therefore we would have seen that the cash component of the present year is added separately to the equity value.
Also the reason for the firm not giving out Dividends =FCFE are as follows
The company might have future needs for huge capex. Therefore in order to account for that requirement the company doesnot pay out in full
Companies, in good time generally do not tend to increase the dividends becuase if in the future time periods they were to decrease the dividend, the market takes it as a bad signal and beats the stock price. Therefore we often see a lag between the increase in dividend distributed and the increase in earnings
The management might want to build an empire of its own, and hence wants to increase the cash present with it
Saturday, November 8, 2008
What does a reduction in Risk premium IN CAPM mean
It means that the country has matured, the economy has matured, the risk associated with investing has decreased. Or if the investment is in emerging markets it means the markets will emerge over time and the investors will ask for a lesser premium to invest in these countries.
Dividend Discount Model
It makes perfect economic sense to assume the dividend payment being made till perpetuity because of two reason
1) The value of the cash flow received at the end of the 50 year is very less and so is the present value of a rupee received at the end of 200 years. It is almost a 20 millionth of a cent when discounted.
2) It makes the computations much more simpler and easy to handle. This is so becuase assuming a perpetual life removes the exponential terms from the formula and leaves us with simple algebraic formula.
Friday, October 17, 2008
Geometric Mean and Arithmetic Mean
Geometric mean of returns can be calculated as
Let us say that there are returns over a period of time as follows
20% , 15%, 25%, -20%, 10%
(1+x)^5=(1+,20)*(1+.15)*(1+.25)*(1-.2)*(1+.1)
x = (1.2*1.15*1.25*0.8*1.1)^1/5
x =
Let us say that there are returns over a period of time as follows
20% , 15%, 25%, -20%, 10%
(1+x)^5=(1+,20)*(1+.15)*(1+.25)*(1-.2)*(1+.1)
x = (1.2*1.15*1.25*0.8*1.1)^1/5
x =
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
